2026 Orbital Risk Outlook

Orbital Congestion Index

Computed daily from public tracking data: orbital density across 50 km altitude shells, weighted by population. Methodology public, data reproducible — the benchmark for the health of low Earth orbit.

Our comprehensive assessment of collision probability trends, mega-constellation expansion trajectories, and systemic risk to the LEO economy.

A structured methodology for quantifying the full economic cost of a collision event — from direct hardware loss to cascade liability and orbital access degradation.

Original research on orbital risk, space traffic economics, and the quantitative frameworks powering the Orbitraz protocol.

Original data, quantitative frameworks, and flagship indices that define how the world measures orbital risk and economic opportunity.